Fig. 6: Effect of preventive vaccination on a potential new mpox outbreak.
From: The decline of the 2022 Italian mpox epidemic: Role of behavior changes and control strategies
A Percentage of simulations that end up in a stochastic extinction within 30 days since the first case, by vaccination coverage. A stochastic extinction occurs when there are no more infectious or exposed individuals in the population. HR20: vaccinating 20% of high-risk (HR) MSM, i.e., those with 30 sexual partners per year or more; HR50: vaccinating 50% of HR MSM; HR100: vaccinating all HR MSM; MR20: vaccinating 20% of moderate risk (MR) MSM, i.e., those with 11 to 29 sexual partners per year; MR50: vaccinating 50% of MR MSM; MR100: vaccinating all MR MSM. B Reproduction number by vaccination coverage. Boxplots represent mean values (central bars), interquartile ranges (rectangular boxes), and 95%PI (whiskers).
