Table 2 Changes in deaths attributable to PM2.5 pollution (DAPP) under different CMIP6 general circulation (climate) models
Change in DAPP relative to 2015 (%) | Scenarios | Average | Average-8 models | GFDL-ESM4 | GISS-E2-1-G | INM-CM4-8 | INM-CM5-0 | MIROC-ES2L | MRI-ESM2-0 | NorESM2-LM | NorESM2-MM | GFDL-CM4 | BCC-ESM1 | CNRM-ESM2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
By 2030 | SSP1-2.6 | −18.9 | −18.7 | −20.0 | −16.4 | −19.9 | −20.8 | −22.5 | −18.3 | −16.0 | −17.1 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
SSP2-4.5 | -0.9 | −0.7 | −2.5 | −0.6 | −1.4 | −2.8 | −2.5 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.4 | −0.4 | N/A | N/A | |
SSP3-7.0 | 13.8 | 13.4 | 15.2 | 16.1 | 10.8 | 11.1 | 14.7 | 13.7 | 14.8 | 12.6 | N/A | 14.3 | 14.2 | |
SSP5-8.5 | −11.0 | −10.8 | −11.0 | −12.6 | −13.1 | −13.9 | −14.0 | −10.5 | −5.4 | −6.2 | −12.6 | N/A | N/A | |
By 2050 | SSP1-2.6 | −24.6 | −24.9 | −22.8 | −19.1 | −36.3 | −38.7 | −28.4 | −20.8 | −15.9 | −15.0 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
SSP2-4.5 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 3.6 | −6.1 | −6.4 | −2.6 | 7.1 | 6.3 | 6.0 | 2.7 | N/A | N/A | |
SSP3-7.0 | 31.4 | 30.6 | 35.6 | 32.5 | 28.3 | 26.9 | 30.8 | 32.4 | 32.6 | 30.7 | N/A | 31.8 | 32.0 | |
SSP5-8.5 | −7.3 | −7.2 | −5.3 | −5.6 | −15.5 | −16.2 | −12.5 | −4.4 | 4.9 | −0.9 | −10.4 | N/A | N/A |
