Table 1 Evolution of older heat exposure determinants under historical climate and current demographics, and under scenarios SSP2(45) and 5(85). CDDs, TMAX95, #HDs, PDDs, PHDs, PD95th report the median and the interquartile range in brackets

Africa

1347

2.1

684

19

35.2

996

25

697

[671, 693]

[19, 20]

[35.1, 35.3]

[994, 999]

[24, 25]

[695, 708]

Asia

4517

5.3

630

150

34.1

8114

15

3533

[624, 642]

[148, 153]

[33.9, 34.2]

[8075, 8127]

[14, 15]

[3426, 3558]

Australia

36

8.6

109

0

30

94

2

5

[107, 117]

[0, 0]

[29.9, 30.1]

[93, 94]

[1, 2]

[4, 5]

Europe

860

12.3

36

4

27.8

2935

0

51

[34, 40]

[4, 4]

[27.8, 27.9]

[2934, 2939]

[0, 0]

[48, 53]

N. America

372

11.2

213

9

32.5

1352

5

202

[198, 222]

[8, 9]

[32.4, 32.6]

[1349, 1357]

[5, 5]

[191, 212]

S. America

680

5.6

414

16

31.8

1203

3

123

[410, 425]

[16, 16]

[31.6, 31.9]

[1198, 1206]

[3, 4]

[113, 131]

World

7967

5.8

437

203

32.3

15025

10

4632

[431, 444]

[200, 206]

[32.2, 32.4]

[14,979, 15,050]

[10, 10]

[4476, 4701]

Africa

1943

3.9

907

69

36.5

2768

37

2810

[864, 942]

[66, 71]

[36.3, 36.7]

[2754, 2779]

[34, 37]

[2546, 2829]

Asia

4951

13.4

942

627

36.1

23,984

25

16,824

[918, 975]

[611, 648]

[36, 36.4]

[23,930, 24,192]

[25, 26]

[16,335, 17,539]

Australia

55

15.5

182

2

31.4

268

3

24

[159, 189]

[1, 2]

[31.2, 31.7]

[267, 271]

[2, 3]

[21, 27]

Europe

886

21.5

104

20

30.4

5800

3

506

[94, 114]

[18, 22]

[30.1, 30.5]

[5741, 5817]

[2, 3]

[447, 585]

N. America

443

17.4

326

25

34.3

2642

11

828

[309, 351]

[24, 27]

[34, 34.5]

[2626, 2659]

[9, 11]

[680, 868]

S. America

730

14.1

566

58

32.9

3392

7

752

[554, 610]

[57, 63]

[32.8, 33.1]

[3379, 3411]

[7, 8]

[677, 825]

World

9064

12.4

716

808

34.7

39,106

19

21,756

[692, 744]

[781, 840]

[34.5, 34.9]

[38,968, 39,393]

[19, 20]

[21,063, 22,492]

Africa

1689

5.5

992

91

36.9

3399

40

3690

[967, 1053]

[89, 97]

[36.7, 37]

[3382, 3414]

[38, 41]

[3504, 3785]

Asia

4547

16.4

1027

768

36.5

27,273

28

20,661

[1004, 1088]

[750, 813]

[36.3, 36.6]

[27,128, 27,405]

[26, 28]

[19,513, 21,199]

Australia

62

16

192

2

31.7

315

3

30

[185, 207]

[2, 2]

[31.6, 31.8]

[315, 316]

[3, 3]

[28, 32]

Europe

963

22.9

130

29

31

6830

4

816

[111, 141]

[24, 31]

[30.3, 31.2]

[6674, 6874]

[3, 4]

[677, 974]

N. America

526

17.3

368

34

34.6

3139

12

1095

[342, 405]

[31, 37]

[34.4, 35]

[3125, 3174]

[11, 13]

[1013, 1199]

S. America

641

17.4

652

73

33.4

3716

9

1010

[624, 691]

[70, 77]

[33.2, 33.6]

[3696, 3742]

[8, 10]

[921, 1137]

World

8485

15.1

786

1008

35.1

44,999

21

27,075

[752, 826]

[964, 1058]

[34.8, 35.3]

[44,651, 45,183]

[21, 22]

[26,401, 28,206]