Fig. 7: Predicted future spread of dengue in Mexico and Brazil 2020–2039.
From: Human movement and environmental barriers shape the emergence of dengue

A, C show the spatial distribution while B and D show the breakdown of invaded municipalities over time with respect to elevation in Mexico and geographic region in Brazil respectively. Error bars in B and D show the 95% credible intervals for the total number of municipalities invaded per year for each year from 2020 onwards based on an ensemble of five temporal survival models. Source of Administrative boundaries: The Global Administrative Unit Layers (GAUL) dataset, implemented by FAO within the CountrySTAT and Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS) projects. Source data are provided as a Source Data file.