Fig. 1: National incident weekly hospital admissions and select forecasts.

National weekly observed hospitalizations (black points) along with FluSight ensemble forecasts for four weeks of submissions in the 2021–22 season (a) and seven weeks of submissions in the 2022-23 season (b). The median FluSight ensemble forecast values (blue points) are shown with the corresponding 50%, 80%, and 95% prediction intervals (blue shaded regions). c–e Show national incident weekly hospital admissions (black points) from the 2022-23 season and predictions from all models submitted on November 11, 2022 (c), December 05, 2022 (d) and February 27, 2023 (e). Colored bands indicate 95% prediction intervals for each model. Team forecasts for additional weeks are available in an interactive dashboard12.