Fig. 4: WIS by model.

Time series of log transformed absolute WIS for state and territory targets. Note that the forecast evaluation period translates to 1-week ahead forecast target end dates from February 26–June 25, 2022 (a), and October 22, 2022, to May 20, 2023 (b), and 4-week ahead forecast target end dates from March 19–July 16, 2022 (c), and November 5, 2022–June 10, 2023 (d). Weekly results for the FluSight baseline and ensemble models are shown in red and blue respectively. Results for individual contributing models are shown in light gray.