Table 1 Total attributable mortality (in thousands) for each of the 7 super regions defined by the Global Burden of Disease for the beginning and the end of the century for different scenarios
region | Population (millions) | Non-optimal temperature | Air pollution |
|---|---|---|---|
Year 2000 | |||
Central-Eastern Europe / Central Asia | 409.02 | 278(126–436) | 450(261–713) |
High-Income | 932.28 | 376(178–580) | 316(154–568) |
Latin America / Caribbean | 442.21 | 43(17–78) | 112(59–190) |
North Africa / Middle East | 412.62 | 98(23–201) | 231(132–383) |
South Asia | 1,298.62 | 195(7–462) | 964(627–1402) |
Sub-Saharan Africa | 607.87 | 52(13–131) | 243(123–440) |
Southeast-East Asia / Oceania | 1787.12 | 555(218–949) | 1751(1141–2501) |
World | 5871.45 | 1593(581–2832) | 4061(2493–6188) |
Year 2090, SSP1-2.6 | |||
Central-Eastern Europe / Central Asia | 293.8 | 1196 (481–1941) | 504 (254–1029) |
High-Income | 1208.0 | 2126 (864–3462) | 303 (101–846) |
Latin America / Caribbean | 467.54 | 499 (164–951) | 687 (308–1300) |
North Africa / Middle East | 666.56 | 1875 (260–4084) | 2962 (1638–4918) |
South Asia | 1666.21 | 2935 (39–7232) | 8674 (5276–13,338) |
Sub-Saharan Africa | 1643.37 | 954 (137–2463) | 3314 (1733–5817) |
Southeast-East Asia / Oceania | 1306.28 | 4946 (1529–8950) | 5934 (3164–9873) |
WORLD | 7239.2 | 14,516 (3474–29,047) | 22,365 (12,470–37,092) |
Year 2090, SSP2-4.5 | |||
Central-Eastern Europe / Central Asia | 346.23 | 872(342–1421) | 508(255–972) |
High-Income | 1,194.44 | 1,752(672–2892) | 390(130–982) |
Latin America / Caribbean | 602.86 | 392(105–765) | 712(352–1247) |
North Africa / Middle East | 893.58 | 1,395(158–3081) | 2574(1449–4223) |
South Asia | 2221.80 | 2,358(29–5740) | 7991(5138–11,737) |
Sub-Saharan Africa | 2227.73 | 629(51–1669) | 2256(1176–3981) |
Southeast-East Asia / Oceania | 1521.64 | 3,389(869-6299) | 5122(2879–8161) |
World | 8995.74 | 10,777(2223-21,845) | 19,539(11,373-31,280) |
Year 2090, SSP5-8.5 | |||
Central-Eastern Europe / Central Asia | 317.75 | 1365(447–2292) | 764(375–1434) |
High-Income | 1685.75 | 2366(729–4076) | 857(332–1849) |
Latin America / Caribbean | 434.92 | 587(69–1237) | 932(477–1580) |
North Africa / Middle East | 655.12 | 1980(130–4527) | 3167(1782-5173) |
South Asia | 1640.85 | 3952(22–9788) | 10,048(6358–14,955) |
Sub-Saharan Africa | 1596.46 | 1495(32–3896) | 3623(1954–6184) |
Southeast-East Asia / Oceania | 1302.61 | 5622(673–11,189) | 7575(4285–11,888) |
World | 7614.3 | 17,336(2101–36,935) | 26,933(15,548–43,005) |
