Fig. 7: Genetic offsets for lesser kestrel evolutionary lineages. | Nature Communications

Fig. 7: Genetic offsets for lesser kestrel evolutionary lineages.

From: Evolutionarily distinct lineages of a migratory bird of prey show divergent responses to climate change

Fig. 7

a, b Density plots of genetic offsets in 2041–2070 (a) and 2071–2100 (b) for all 2.5 arc-minute grid cells with breeding occurrence records within the Western (orange) and Eastern (blue) evolutionarily significant units (ESUs), showing higher offsets for the Eastern ESU. Median values for each ESU are shown as coloured vertical lines. c–d Genetic offsets across the current breeding range in 2041–2070 (c) and 2071–2100 (d) based on projections using an ‘extreme warming’ future climate (UKESM1-0-LL; SSP5-8.5; estimates for a ‘moderate warming’ future climate are shown in Supplementary Fig. 20). The highest offsets are in the western and northern sectors of the Eastern ESU’s current range. Data underlying all components of Fig. 7 are provided at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14988067. Background maps were obtained from the rnaturalearth v.0.3.2 R package.

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