Table 1 Reported outbreaks
From: A mathematical model of H5N1 influenza transmission in US dairy cattle
US State | Up to and including the week beginning December 2nd 2024 | ||
---|---|---|---|
Outbreaks reported | Simulation outbreaks reported | Probability of no outbreaks | |
(Observed) | Mean (95% CrI) | (Proportion of Simulations) | |
California | 520 | 339 (3–809) | 0.010 |
Colorado | 64 | 57 (0–139) | 0.077 |
Idaho | 35 | 64 (0–256) | 0.150 |
Michigan | 29 | 136 (0–710) | 0.096 |
Texas | 26 | 322 (197–376) | 0.000 |
Iowa | 13 | 89 (0–512) | 0.191 |
Utah | 13 | 25 (0–133) | 0.306 |
Minnesota | 9 | 249 (0–1305) | 0.039 |
New Mexico | 9 | 86 (74–97) | 0.000 |
South Dakota | 7 | 19 (0–119) | 0.471 |
Kansas | 4 | 194 (74–279) | 0.000 |
Oklahoma | 2 | 70 (0–158) | 0.041 |
Nevada | 1 | 2 (0–17) | 0.686 |
North Carolina | 1 | 11 (0–113) | 0.667 |
Ohio | 1 | 1004 (279–1487) | 0.000 |
Wyoming | 1 | 5 (0–48) | 0.733 |
Alabama | 0 | 2 (0–25) | 0.825 |
Arizona | 0 | 34 (1–51) | 0.023 |
Arkansas | 0 | 8 (0–34) | 0.476 |
Connecticut | 0 | 2 (0–36) | 0.870 |
Delaware | 0 | 0 (0–1) | 0.974 |
Florida | 0 | 35 (0–78) | 0.094 |
Georgia | 0 | 33 (0–155) | 0.282 |
Illinois | 0 | 48 (0–316) | 0.309 |
Indiana | 0 | 119 (0–598) | 0.083 |
Kentucky | 0 | 69 (0–362) | 0.171 |
Louisiana | 0 | 8 (0–56) | 0.652 |
Maine | 0 | 3 (0–45) | 0.879 |
Maryland | 0 | 9 (0–115) | 0.698 |
Massachusetts | 0 | 3 (0–40) | 0.843 |
Mississippi | 0 | 5 (0–37) | 0.716 |
Missouri | 0 | 125 (0–562) | 0.112 |
Montana | 0 | 4 (0–48) | 0.780 |
Nebraska | 0 | 7 (0–80) | 0.759 |
New Hampshire | 0 | 1 (0–5) | 0.938 |
New Jersey | 0 | 1 (0–13) | 0.914 |
New York | 0 | 108 (0–882) | 0.268 |
North Dakota | 0 | 3 (0–37) | 0.790 |
Oregon | 0 | 9 (0–104) | 0.631 |
Pennsylvania | 0 | 103 (0–888) | 0.205 |
Rhode Island | 0 | 0 (0–0) | 0.990 |
South Carolina | 0 | 3 (0–33) | 0.808 |
Tennessee | 0 | 34 (0–199) | 0.343 |
Vermont | 0 | 24 (0–230) | 0.516 |
Virginia | 0 | 16 (0–185) | 0.664 |
Washington | 0 | 33 (0–193) | 0.326 |
West Virginia | 0 | 2 (0–22) | 0.881 |
Wisconsin | 0 | 454 (1–2729) | 0.019 |