Table 2 The Prior distributions and posterior intervals for all fit model parameters
From: A mathematical model of H5N1 influenza transmission in US dairy cattle
Parameter | Description | Prior distribution | Posterior–Median (95% CrI) |
---|---|---|---|
\(\frac{\beta }{\gamma }\) | \(\frac{\, {\displaystyle{{\mbox{transmission }}}} {\displaystyle{{\mbox{rate}}}}} {\displaystyle{{\mbox{recovery rate}}}\,}\) | Uniform (0.05, 3) | 1.864 (0.929–2.932) |
α | Intra-state transmission coefficient | Uniform (0, 0.1) | 0.063 (0.009–0.098) |
σ | Incubation rate | Uniform (0.05, 2) | 1.050 (0.199–1.956) |
γ | Recovery rate | Uniform (0.05, 2) | 1.084 (0.384–1.942) |
Aasc | Ascertainment rate scaling | Beta (1, 1) | 0.648 (0.091–0.986) |