Fig. 2: Phylogenetically informed prediction intervals and error increase with terminal branch lengths.
From: Phylogenetically informed predictions outperform predictive equations in real and simulated data
a–c Prediction intervals (log10-transformed) of phylogenetically informed predictions (blue points) increase with terminal branch lengths (log10-transformed), whereas ordinary least squares (OLS) prediction intervals do not (green points), across set of 1000 simulated ultrametric trees (Fig. 1a) under three correlation coefficients (r = 0.25, 0.50, and 0.75). d–f Range in phylogenetically informed prediction errors (blue points) increase with terminal branch lengths (log10-transformed) across set of ultrametric trees, whereas OLS-derived errors do not (green points). g–i Phylogenetically informed prediction intervals increase with terminal branch lengths of target extinct taxa across set of 1000 non-ultrametric trees (low extinction, see Fig. 1e). j–l Range in phylogenetically informed prediction errors increase with terminal branch lengths across set of non-ultrametric trees.
