Table 1 Regional counts of Severe Hail Potential for the control (1998–2007), mid-century (2040–2049), and end-of-century (~2100) simulations

From: Future changes in severe hail across Europe, including regional emergence of warm-type thunderstorms

 

BRI control

BRI 2040 s

BRI ~ 2100

NEU control

NEU 2040 s

NEU ~ 2100

CEU control

CEU 2040 s

CEU ~ 2100

SEU control

SEU 2040 s

SEU ~ 2100

DJF

0

0

4

0

0

7

0

0

4

178

614

1477

MAM

16

96

32

284

68

94

4003

2388

1117

3270

3386

3396

JJA

188

154

81

694

1075

732

6247

2625

657

11443

5554

2193

SON

6

1

17

11

3

43

568

178

24

8144

7390

4449

ALL

210

251

134

989

1146

876

10818

5191

1802

23035

16944

11515

  1. Global mean surface temperature (GMST) change for the global circulation model driving the mid-century simulation is +2.3 K, and for the end-of-century simulation is +5.2 K, compared to the pre-industrial period. BRI refers to British Isles, NEU refers to Northern Europe, CEU refers to Central Europe, and SEU refers to Southern Europe, as shown in Fig. 3.