Table 2 Description of data and criteria used to test for the presence of key system conditions

From: Electric transmission value and its drivers in United States power markets

Condition

Relevant measurements

Measurement

granularity

Criteria

Unforeseen intraday variation

(a) Magnitude of the price change between day-ahead and real-time markets ($/MWh)

(b) Magnitude of the price change between day-ahead and real-time markets as a percent of the day-ahead price magnitude (%)

Nodal

\(\left(a\right)\ge \$40/{MWh}\)

AND

\(\left(b\right)\ge 50\%\)

High net load

Electricity load less generation from wind and solar (MWh)

ISO/RTO

Top 5% of hours for that node within the study period

High renewable generation

Sum of generation from wind and solar (MWh)

Cold weather

Effective heating degrees (i.e., the difference between the measurement location’s neutral heating temperature and the day’s mean temperature) (°F)

ISO/RTO

OR

regional for ISO/RTOs with very wide geographic range

Top (coldest) 5% of days for that node within the study period AND

Effective heating degrees > 0

Hot weather

Effective cooling degrees (i.e., the difference between the day’s mean temperature and the measurement location’s neutral heating temperature) (°F)

Top (hottest) {1%, 5%} of days for that node within the study period AND

Effective cooling degrees > 0

Designated events

NERC-identified periods of grid stress and key weather events identified in the literature (e.g., named storms, heatwaves). A complete list of events and their dates is available in Supplementary Table 2.

National

One or more designated events occurred that day

  1. Neutral heating temperatures are typically 60°F-70°F; see ref. 58 for more on heating and cooling degree days.