Skip to main content

Thank you for visiting nature.com. You are using a browser version with limited support for CSS. To obtain the best experience, we recommend you use a more up to date browser (or turn off compatibility mode in Internet Explorer). In the meantime, to ensure continued support, we are displaying the site without styles and JavaScript.

Advertisement

Nature Communications
  • View all journals
  • Search
  • My Account Login
  • Content Explore content
  • About the journal
  • Publish with us
  • Sign up for alerts
  • RSS feed
  1. nature
  2. nature communications
  3. articles
  4. article
Shifting winter atmospheric teleconnections to the North Pacific reconcile Younger-Dryas and Holocene δ18O signals
Download PDF
Download PDF
  • Article
  • Open access
  • Published: 06 February 2026

Shifting winter atmospheric teleconnections to the North Pacific reconcile Younger-Dryas and Holocene δ18O signals

  • Lesleigh Anderson1,
  • Bruce P. Finney  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-2639-65122,3 &
  • W. Brad Baxter3 

Nature Communications , Article number:  (2026) Cite this article

  • 2674 Accesses

  • 10 Altmetric

  • Metrics details

We are providing an unedited version of this manuscript to give early access to its findings. Before final publication, the manuscript will undergo further editing. Please note there may be errors present which affect the content, and all legal disclaimers apply.

Subjects

  • Geochemistry
  • Hydrology
  • Limnology
  • Palaeoclimate

Abstract

Using Alaskan lake sediment oxygen isotope records (δ18O), which trace the δ18O of precipitation, we establish that abrupt atmospheric shifts occurred during the last deglacial period in the North Pacific-Arctic. The robust lake δ18O chronologies confidently correlate Younger-Dryas (YD) atmospheric adjustments in Alaska with Greenland ice-core records and their seasonal sensitivity are consistent with cooling during winter. In contrast, abrupt δ18O decreases during the late Holocene observed in our records, of similar magnitude as the YD, are best explained by atmospheric modes involving long-distance transport of sub-tropical Pacific moisture. Our sediment cores are among the most reliably dated records yet produced in the circum-Arctic and show that similar decreases in δ18O of winter precipitation during the YD and late Holocene were driven by different atmospheric teleconnections. These results underscore major roles for seasonality and atmospheric patterns in the conceptual understanding of global scale climate oscillations, both past and future.

Similar content being viewed by others

Hydroclimate response of spring ecosystems to a two-stage Younger Dryas event in western North America

Article Open access 05 May 2022

Summer paleohydrology during the Late Glacial and Early Holocene based on δ2H and δ18O from Bichlersee, Bavaria

Article Open access 28 October 2023

Both redox potential and climate control molecular proxies in Icelandic Holocene lake sediments

Article Open access 24 September 2025

Data availability

The data generated by this study have been deposited in the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) National Center for Environmental Information (NCEI) under the accession code https://doi.org/10.25921/jvs7-8f93.

References

  1. Rea, B. R. et al. Atmospheric circulation over Europe during the Younger Dryas. Sci. Adv. 6, eaba4844 (2020).

    Google Scholar 

  2. Renssen, H., Lautenschlager, M. & Schuurmans, C. J. E. The atmospheric winter circulation during the Younger Dryas stadial in the Atlantic/European sector. Clim. Dyn. 12, 813–824 (1996).

    Google Scholar 

  3. Monteith, A. J. et al. Late Quaternary environmental change in eastern Beringia. Quat. Sci. Rev. 368, 109527 (2025).

    Google Scholar 

  4. Koutavas, A. & Sachs, J. P. Northern timing of deglaciation in the Eastern Equatorial Pacific from alkenone paleothermometry. Paleoceanography 23, PA001593 (2008).

    Google Scholar 

  5. Koutavas, A. & Joanides, S. El Niño-Southern oscillation extrema in the Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum. Paleoceanography 27, PA4208 (2012).

    Google Scholar 

  6. Moy, C. M. et al. Variability of El Niño/Southern oscillation activity at millennial timescales during the Holocene epoch. Nature 420, 162–165 (2002).

    Google Scholar 

  7. Anderson, L. Holocene record of precipitation seasonality from lake calcite δ18O in the central Rocky Mountains, United States. Geology 39, 211–214 (2011).

    Google Scholar 

  8. Meyer, H. L. et al. Permafrost evidence for severe winter cooling during the Younger Dryas in North America. Geophys. Res. Lett. 37, L03501 (2010).

  9. Gaglioti, B. V. et al. Younger-Dryas cooling and sea-ice feedbacks were prominent features of the Pleistocene-Holocene transition in arctic Alaska. Quat. Sci. Rev. 169, 330–343 (2017).

    Google Scholar 

  10. King, A. L. et al. A stable isotope record of late Quaternary hydrologic change in the northwestern Brooks Range, Alaska (Eastern Beringia). J. Quat. Sci. 37, 928–943 (2022).

    Google Scholar 

  11. Yu, Z. et al. Lateglacial and early Holocene climate oscillations in the Matanuska Valley, South-Central Alaska. Quat. Sci. Rev. 27, 148–161 (2008).

    Google Scholar 

  12. Kokorowski, H. D. et al. A re-evaluation and spatial analysis of evidence for a Younger Dryas climatic reversal in Beringia. Quat. Sci. Rev. 27, 1710–1722 (2008).

    Google Scholar 

  13. Fisher, D. E. et al. The Mt Logan - Holocene - Late Wisconsinan isotope record: tropical Pacific - Yukon connections. Holocene 18, 667–677 (2008).

    Google Scholar 

  14. Kopczynski, S. E. et al. Latest Pleistocene advance and collapse of the Matanuska – Knik glacier system, Anchorage lowland, southern Alaska. Quat. Sci. Rev. 156, 121–134 (2017).

    Google Scholar 

  15. Kikuchi, C. P. Shallow groundwater in the Matanuska-Susitna Valley, Alaska - conceptualization and simulation of flow. US Geological Survey No. 2013-5049 (2013).

  16. Anderson, L. et al. Lake oxygen isotopes as recorders of North American Rocky Mountain hydroclimate: Holocene patterns and variability at multi-decadal to millennial time scales. Glob. Planet. Change 137, 131–148 (2016).

    Google Scholar 

  17. Bailey, H. L., Klein, E. S. & Welker, J. M. Synoptic and mesoscale mechanisms drive winter precipitation δ18O/δ2H in South-Central Alaska. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 124, 4252–4266 (2019).

    Google Scholar 

  18. Wendler, G., Gordon, T. & Stuefer, M. On precipitation and precipitation change in Alaska. Atmosphere 8, 253 (2017).

    Google Scholar 

  19. COHMAP Members Climatic changes of the last 18,000 Years: observations and model simulations. Science 241, 1043–1052 (1988).

    Google Scholar 

  20. Bartlein, P. J. et al. A framework for interpreting paleoclimatic variations in Eastern Beringia. Quat. Int. 10–12, 73–83 (1991).

    Google Scholar 

  21. Winski, D. et al. Industrial-age doubling of snow accumulation in the alaska range linked to tropical ocean warming. Sci. Rep. 7, 17869 (2017).

    Google Scholar 

  22. Trenberth, K. E. & Hurrell, J. W. Decadal atmosphere-ocean variations in the Pacific. Clim. Dyn. 9, 303–319 (1994).

    Google Scholar 

  23. Newman, M. et al. The Pacific decadal oscillation, revisited. J. Clim. 29, 4399–4427 (2016).

    Google Scholar 

  24. Putman, A. L. et al. Annual variation in event-scale precipitation δ2H at Barrow, AK, reflects vapor source region. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 17, 4627–4639 (2017).

    Google Scholar 

  25. Papineau, J. M. Wintertime temperature anomalies in Alaska correlated with ENSO and PDO. Int. J. Climatol. 21, 1577–1592 (2001).

    Google Scholar 

  26. Hartman, B. & Wendler, G. The significance of the 1976 Pacific climate shift in the climatology of Alaska. J. Clim. 18, 4824–4839 (2005).

    Google Scholar 

  27. Holdsworth, G., Fogarasi, S. & Krouse, H. R. Variation of the stable isotopes of water with altitude in the Saint Elias Mountains of Canada. J. Geophys. Res. 96, 7483–7494 (1991).

    Google Scholar 

  28. D’Arrigo, R. et al. Tropical-North Pacific climate linkages over the past four centuries. J. Clim. 18, 5253–5265 (2005).

    Google Scholar 

  29. Gaglioti, B. V. et al. Traumatic resin ducts in Alaska mountain hemlock trees provide a new proxy for winter storminess. J. Geophys. Res. G: Biogeosci. 124, 1923–1938 (2019).

    Google Scholar 

  30. Fisher, D. et al. Stable isotope records from Mount Logan, Eclipse ice cores and nearby Jellybean Lake. Water cycle of the North Pacific over 2000 years and over five vertical kilometers: sudden shifts and tropical connections. Géographie. Phys. Quat. 58, 337–352 (2004).

    Google Scholar 

  31. Bakke, J. et al. Rapid oceanic and atmospheric changes during the Younger Dryas cold period. Nat. Geosci. 2, 202–205 (2009).

    Google Scholar 

  32. Davies, M. H. et al. The deglacial transition on the southeastern Alaska margin: meltwater input, sea level rise, marine productivity, and sedimentary anoxia. Paleoceanography 26, 2010PA002051 (2011).

    Google Scholar 

  33. Praetorius, S. K. et al. North Pacific deglacial hypoxic events linked to abrupt ocean warming. Nature 527, 362–366 (2015).

    Google Scholar 

  34. Meheust, M. et al. Sea-ice variability in the subarctic North Pacific and adjacent Bering Sea during the past 25ka: new insights from IP25 and Uk’37 proxy records. Arktos 4, 8 (2018).

    Google Scholar 

  35. Bartlein, P. J. et al. Paleoclimate simulations for North America over the past 21,000 years: features of the simulated climate and comparisons with paleoenvironmental data. Quat. Sci. Rev. 17, 549–585 (1998).

    Google Scholar 

  36. Epstein, S. The isotopic climatic records in the Alleröd-Bølling-Younger Dryas and post-Younger Dryas events. Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles 9, 557–563 (1995).

    Google Scholar 

  37. Young, N. E. et al. Early Younger Dryas glacier culmination in southern Alaska: implications for North Atlantic climate change during the last deglaciation. Geology 47, 550–554 (2019).

    Google Scholar 

  38. Kurek, J. et al. Late Quaternary paleoclimate of western Alaska inferred from fossil chironomids and its relation to vegetation histories. Quat. Sci. Rev. 28, 799–811 (2009).

    Google Scholar 

  39. Tulenko, J. P. et al. The last deglaciation of Alaska and a new benchmark 10Be moraine chronology from the Western Alaska Range. Quat. Sci. Rev. 287, 107549 (2022).

    Google Scholar 

  40. Wilcox, P. S., Fowell, S. J. & Baichtal, J. F. A mild Younger Dryas recorded in Southeastern Alaska. Arct. Antarct. Alp. Res. 52, 236–247 (2020).

    Google Scholar 

  41. Bromley, G. et al. Lateglacial shifts in seasonality reconcile conflicting North Atlantic temperature signals. J. Geophys. Res. Earth Surf. 128, e2022JF006951 (2023).

    Google Scholar 

  42. Denton, G. H. et al. Heinrich summers. Quat. Sci. Rev. 295, 107750 (2022).

    Google Scholar 

  43. Denton, G. H. et al. The Zealandia switch; ice age climate shifts viewed from southern hemisphere moraines. Quat. Sci. Rev. 257, 106771 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  44. Abbott, M. B. et al. Lake-Level reconstructions and paleohydrology of Birch Lake, Central Alaska, based on seismic reflection profiles and core transects. Quat. Res. 53, 154–166 (2000).

    Google Scholar 

  45. Finkenbinder, M. et al. A 31,000 year record of paleoenvironmental and lake-level change from Harding Lake, Alaska, USA. Quat. Sci. Rev. 87, 98–113 (2014).

    Google Scholar 

  46. Bartlein, P. J. et al.Early-Holocene warming in Beringia and its mediation by sea-level and vegetation changes. Clim. Past 11, 1197–1222 (2015).

    Google Scholar 

  47. Jakobsson, M. et al. Post-glacial flooding of the Bering Land Bridge dated to 11 cal ka BP based on new geophysical and sediment records. Clim.Past 13, 991–1005 (2017).

    Google Scholar 

  48. De Vernal, A. C. et al. Opposed east-west climate response of the Arctic Ocean during the present interglacial. Sci. Adv. 10, eadn0841 (2024).

    Google Scholar 

  49. Brosius, L. S. et al. Spatiotemporal patterns of northern lake formation since the Last Glacial Maximum. Quat. Sci. Rev. 253, 106773 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  50. Finney, B. P. et al. Holocene climate change and carbon cycling in a groundwater-fed, boreal forest lake: Dune Lake, Alaska. J. Paleolimnol. 48, 43–54 (2012).

    Google Scholar 

  51. Anderson, L. et al. Holocene thermokarst lake dynamics in northern interior Alaska: the interplay of climate, fire, and subsurface hydrology. Front. Earth. Sci. 7, 53 (2019).

    Google Scholar 

  52. Jones, M. C. & Yu, Z. Rapid deglacial and early Holocene expansion of peatlands in Alaska. PNAS 107, 7347–7352 (2010).

    Google Scholar 

  53. Jones, M. C., Wooller, M. & Peteet, D. M. A deglacial and Holocene record of climate variability in South-Central Alaska from stable oxygen isotopes and plant macrofossils in peat. Quat. Sci. Rev. 87, 1–11 (2014).

    Google Scholar 

  54. Jones, M. C. et al. Permafrost history in the sporadic zone as context for recent carbon loss using a cryostratigraphy, plant macrofossil, and stable isotope approach. Proc. 12th Int. Conf. Permafr. 2, 114–115 (2024).

    Google Scholar 

  55. Lasher, G. et al. Holocene hydroclimatic reorganizations in northwest Canada inferred from lacustrine carbonate oxygen isotopes. Geophys. Res. Lett. 48, e2021GL092948 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  56. Gerber et al. Low variability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation throughout the Holocene. Nat. Commun. 16, 6748 (2025).

    Google Scholar 

  57. Conroy, J.L. et al. Holocene changes in eastern tropical Pacific climate inferred from a Galápagos lake sediment record. Quat. Sci. Rev. 27, 1166-1180 (2008).

  58. Barron, J. A. & Anderson, L. Enhanced Late Holocene ENSO/PDO expression along the margins of the Eastern North Pacific. Quat. Int. 235, 3–12 (2011).

    Google Scholar 

  59. Du, X. et al. High-resolution interannual precipitation reconstruction of southern California: implications for Holocene ENSO evolution. Earth Plan. Sci. L. 554, 1166670 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  60. Liu, Z. et al. Paired oxygen isotope records reveal modern North American atmospheric dynamics during the Holocene. Nat. Commun. 5, 3701 (2014).

    Google Scholar 

  61. Gibson, D. K. et al. Holocene insolation and sea surface temperature influences on the polar front jet stream and precipitation in the midcontinental United States. Quat. Sci. Rev. 340, 108865 (2024).

    Google Scholar 

  62. Osterberg, E. et al. Mount Logan ice core record of tropical and solar influences on Aleutian Low variability. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 119, 11189–11204 (2014).

    Google Scholar 

  63. Mantua, N. J. et al. A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 78, 1069–1079 (1997).

    Google Scholar 

  64. Anderson, L. et al. Regional atmospheric circulation change in the North Pacific during the Holocene inferred from lacustrine carbonate oxygen isotopes, Yukon Territory. Can. Quat. Res. 64, 21–35 (2005).

    Google Scholar 

  65. Yeh, S.-W. et al. ENSO Atmospheric teleconnections and their response to greenhouse gas forcing. Rev. Geophys. 56, 185–206 (2018).

    Google Scholar 

  66. Zhu, C. & Cheng, L. Sensitivity of AMOC fingerprints under future anthropogenic warming. Geophys. Res. Lett. 51, e2023GL107170 (2024).

    Google Scholar 

  67. Hartman, D. L. Pacific sea surface temperature and the winter of 2014. Geophys. Res. Let. 42, 1894–1902 (2015).

    Google Scholar 

  68. Svendsen, L. et al. Pacific contribution to the early twentieth-century warming in the Arctic. Nat. Clim. Change 8, 793–797 (2018).

    Google Scholar 

  69. Anderson, L. Controls on recent Alaskan lake changes identified from water isotopes and remote sensing. Geophys. Res. Lett. 40, 3413–3418 (2013).

    Google Scholar 

  70. Ala-aho, P. et al. Using stable isotopes to assess surface water source dynamics and hydrological connectivity in a high-latitude wetland and permafrost influenced landscape. J. Hydrol. 556, 279–293 (2018).

    Google Scholar 

  71. Mann, D.H. & Gaglioti, B.V. The northeast Pacific Ocean and northwest coast of North America within the global climate system, 29,000 to 11,7000 years ago. Ear Sci. Rev. 254, 104782 (2024).

  72. Davis, C. V. et al. Sea surface temperature across the subarctic North Pacific and marginal seas through the past 20,000 years: a paleoceanographic synthesis. Quat. Sci. Rev. 246, 106519 (2020).

    Google Scholar 

  73. Jasechko, S. A. et al. Late-glacial to late-Holocene shifts in global precipitation δ18O. Clim.Past 11, 1375–1393 (2015).

    Google Scholar 

  74. McMillan, M.S. Spatial and temporal analyses of land cover, climate, and lake water quality in the Matanuska-Susitna Valley, Alaska. M.S. thesis, Alaska Pacific Univ. (2016).

  75. Anderson, L. et al. Late Holocene moisture balance variability in the southwest Yukon Territory, Canada. Quat. Sci. Rev. 26, 130–141 (2007).

    Google Scholar 

  76. Muhs, D. M. et al. Geochemical evidence for seasonal controls on the transportation of Holocene loess, Matanuska Valley, southern Alaska, USA. Aeolian Res. 21, 61–73 (2016).

    Google Scholar 

  77. Dalton, A. S. et al. An updated radiocarbon-based ice margin chronology for the last deglaciation of the North American ice sheet complex. Quat. Sci. Rev. 234, 106223 (2020).

    Google Scholar 

  78. Dyke, A. S. et al. The Laurentide and Innuitian ice sheets during the Last Glacial Maximum. Quat. Sci. Rev. 21, 9–31 (2002).

    Google Scholar 

  79. Vinther, B. M. et al. A synchronized dating of three Greenland ice cores throughout the Holocene. J. Geophys. Res. 111, D13102 (2006).

    Google Scholar 

  80. Rasmussen, S. O. et al. A new Greenland ice core chronology for the last glacial termination. J. Geophys. Res. 111, D06102 (2006).

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

We thank Carson Baughman, Matt McMillan, Eva Stephani and Ben Gaglioti for their valued assistance in the field, Million Hailemichael and the Idaho State University Stable Isotope Laboratory for analyses, and Nancy Bigelow for providing the pollen analyses. This research was supported by the USGS through the Ecosystems Land Change Science program. Any use of trade, firm, or product names is for descriptive purposes only and does not imply endorsement by the U.S. Government.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. United States Geological Survey, Geosciences and Environmental Change Science Center, Denver, CO, USA

    Lesleigh Anderson

  2. Department of Biological Sciences, Idaho State University, Pocatello, ID, USA

    Bruce P. Finney

  3. Department of Geosciences, Idaho State University, Pocatello, ID, USA

    Bruce P. Finney & W. Brad Baxter

Authors
  1. Lesleigh Anderson
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

  2. Bruce P. Finney
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

  3. W. Brad Baxter
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

Contributions

L.A. and B.F. conceived and designed the study and performed the field work, analysis, and data compilation with assistance by W.B.B. L.A. and B.F. interpreted the data with input from W.B.B. L.A. drafted the paper and with B.F. generated the final manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Bruce P. Finney.

Ethics declarations

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Peer review

Peer review information

Nature Communications thanks Zicheng Yu and the other anonymous reviewer(s) for their contribution to the peer review of this work. A peer review file is available.

Additional information

Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Supplementary information

Supplementary Information

Transparent Peer Review file

Rights and permissions

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Anderson, L., Finney, B.P. & Baxter, W.B. Shifting winter atmospheric teleconnections to the North Pacific reconcile Younger-Dryas and Holocene δ18O signals. Nat Commun (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-68841-2

Download citation

  • Received: 14 February 2025

  • Accepted: 19 January 2026

  • Published: 06 February 2026

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-68841-2

Share this article

Anyone you share the following link with will be able to read this content:

Sorry, a shareable link is not currently available for this article.

Provided by the Springer Nature SharedIt content-sharing initiative

Download PDF

Advertisement

Explore content

  • Research articles
  • Reviews & Analysis
  • News & Comment
  • Videos
  • Collections
  • Subjects
  • Follow us on Facebook
  • Follow us on X
  • Sign up for alerts
  • RSS feed

About the journal

  • Aims & Scope
  • Editors
  • Journal Information
  • Open Access Fees and Funding
  • Calls for Papers
  • Editorial Values Statement
  • Journal Metrics
  • Editors' Highlights
  • Contact
  • Editorial policies
  • Top Articles

Publish with us

  • For authors
  • For Reviewers
  • Language editing services
  • Open access funding
  • Submit manuscript

Search

Advanced search

Quick links

  • Explore articles by subject
  • Find a job
  • Guide to authors
  • Editorial policies

Nature Communications (Nat Commun)

ISSN 2041-1723 (online)

nature.com sitemap

About Nature Portfolio

  • About us
  • Press releases
  • Press office
  • Contact us

Discover content

  • Journals A-Z
  • Articles by subject
  • protocols.io
  • Nature Index

Publishing policies

  • Nature portfolio policies
  • Open access

Author & Researcher services

  • Reprints & permissions
  • Research data
  • Language editing
  • Scientific editing
  • Nature Masterclasses
  • Research Solutions

Libraries & institutions

  • Librarian service & tools
  • Librarian portal
  • Open research
  • Recommend to library

Advertising & partnerships

  • Advertising
  • Partnerships & Services
  • Media kits
  • Branded content

Professional development

  • Nature Awards
  • Nature Careers
  • Nature Conferences

Regional websites

  • Nature Africa
  • Nature China
  • Nature India
  • Nature Japan
  • Nature Middle East
  • Privacy Policy
  • Use of cookies
  • Legal notice
  • Accessibility statement
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Your US state privacy rights
Springer Nature

© 2026 Springer Nature Limited

Nature Briefing Anthropocene

Sign up for the Nature Briefing: Anthropocene newsletter — what matters in anthropocene research, free to your inbox weekly.

Get the most important science stories of the day, free in your inbox. Sign up for Nature Briefing: Anthropocene