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FATE-MAP predicts teratogenicity and human gastrulation failure modes by integrating deep learning and mechanistic modeling
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  • Published: 19 February 2026

FATE-MAP predicts teratogenicity and human gastrulation failure modes by integrating deep learning and mechanistic modeling

  • Joseph Rufo1,2,3,
  • Chongxu Qiu1,
  • Dasol Han1,3,
  • Naomi Baxter1,
  • Gabrielle Daley1,
  • Jasmine Dhillon1,
  • Felix Wong4,
  • James J. Collins  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-5560-82465,6,7 &
  • …
  • Maxwell Z. Wilson  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0003-0768-70041,2,3 

Nature Communications , Article number:  (2026) Cite this article

We are providing an unedited version of this manuscript to give early access to its findings. Before final publication, the manuscript will undergo further editing. Please note there may be errors present which affect the content, and all legal disclaimers apply.

Subjects

  • Embryonic stem cells
  • Gastrulation
  • Pattern formation

Abstract

Gastrulation, a critical developmental stage involving germ layer specification and axes formation, is a major point of failure in human development, contributing to pregnancy loss and congenital malformations. However, due to ethical constraints and anatomical differences in animal models, the failure modes underlying human gastrulation remain poorly understood. To elucidate these failure modes, we introduce FATE-MAP (Failure Analysis and Trajectory Evaluation via Mechanistic-AI Prediction), an integrated platform that combines high-throughput perturbations of human 2D gastruloids with quantitative phenotypic mapping, predictive deep learning, and mechanistic morphogen modeling. Analyzing over 2000 drug-treated human 2D gastruloids, we mapped a phenotypic morphospace that separates canonical patterning, in which primitive-streak fates are correctly specified and radially organized, from failure modes, defined as departures from this organization and marked by a loss of a required fate and/or radial symmetry. To predict and interpret patterning outcomes, FATE-MAP combines a transformer linking chemical structure to phenotype with PDE simulations of morphogen transport and cell fate specification, and projects both outputs onto the experimentally defined morphospace. Applying this framework, we flagged two clinical molecules as potential teratogens and identified two parameters, cell density and SOX2 stability, that form orthogonal morphospace axes along which canonically patterned gastruloids systematically vary. FATE-MAP thus provides a roadmap for decoding human developmental trajectories and accelerating safe therapeutic discovery.

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Data availability

The raw and processed gastruloid images and corresponding morphospace data (radial intensity profiles and cluster assignments) used in all analyses are publicly available at (https://max-wilson.mcdb.ucsb.edu/research/gastruloid-morphospace and https://github.com/MZW-Lab/gastruloid_morphospace). These datasets include the binned radial fluorescence intensity profiles for each colony and constitute the complete dataset used to generate the results reported in this study. Additional phenotype categorizations are provided in the Supplementary Information/Source Data file.

Code availability

All code generated during this study has been deposited at the Wilson Github repository (https://github.com/MZW-Lab/gastruloid_morphospace).

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Acknowledgements

This study was supported by UCSB start-up funds. J.R. is supported by NICHD of the National Institutes of Health via a Ruth L. Kirschstein Postdoctoral Individual National Research Service Award (1F32HD114539-01). The authors acknowledge the use of the Microfluidics Laboratory within the California NanoSystems Institute, supported by the University of California, Santa Barbara and the University of California, Office of the President. Results related to the zebrafish teratogenicity assay were performed in collaboration with ZeClinics. The authors also thank Angela Pitenis and Dennis Clegg for their valuable feedback and discussions on experimental and figure design.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Molecular, Cellular, and Developmental Biology, University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, USA

    Joseph Rufo, Chongxu Qiu, Dasol Han, Naomi Baxter, Gabrielle Daley, Jasmine Dhillon & Maxwell Z. Wilson

  2. Center for BioEngineering, University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, USA

    Joseph Rufo & Maxwell Z. Wilson

  3. Neuroscience Research Institute, University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, USA

    Joseph Rufo, Dasol Han & Maxwell Z. Wilson

  4. Integrated Biosciences, Inc., Redwood City, CA, USA

    Felix Wong

  5. Infectious Disease and Microbiome Program, Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA, USA

    James J. Collins

  6. Institute for Medical Engineering and Science and Department of Biological Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, USA

    James J. Collins

  7. Wyss Institute for Biologically Inspired Engineering, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA

    James J. Collins

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  1. Joseph Rufo
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  2. Chongxu Qiu
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Contributions

Conceptualization, J.R., C.Q., D.H., and M.Z.W.; methodology, J.R., C.Q., D.H., N.B., G.D., and M.Z.W.; software and data analysis, J.R., C.Q., and M.Z.W.; modeling and simulations, J.R. and M.Z.W.; investigation, J.R., C.Q., D.H., N.B., G.D., J.D., and M.Z.W.; writing–original draft, J.R. and M.Z.W.; editing–final draft, J.R., F.W., J.J.C., and M.Z.W.; funding acquisition, J.R. and M.Z.W.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Maxwell Z. Wilson.

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Competing interests

F.W. and M.Z.W. are employees, shareholders, and board members of Integrated Biosciences Inc. J.J.C. is the founding Scientific Advisory Board chair of Integrated Biosciences. The remaining authors declare no competing interests.

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Rufo, J., Qiu, C., Han, D. et al. FATE-MAP predicts teratogenicity and human gastrulation failure modes by integrating deep learning and mechanistic modeling. Nat Commun (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-69596-6

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  • Received: 02 May 2025

  • Accepted: 04 February 2026

  • Published: 19 February 2026

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-69596-6

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