Table 2 Risk predictors from univariable analysis for at least one asthma attack defined by American Thoracic Society criteria

From: Applying UK real-world primary care data to predict asthma attacks in 3776 well-characterised children: a retrospective cohort study

 

Number of future attacks

Total

p Value

0

≥1

  

Mean age (SD), years

9.0 (2.3)

8.6 (2.4)

9.0 (2.3)

<0.001b

Age group

    

5–6 years, n (%)

605 (18.6)

139 (26.5)

744 (19.7)

<0.001b

7–10 years, n (%)

1559 (48)

244 (46.5)

1803 (47.7)

11–12 years, n (%)

1087 (33.4)

142 (27)

1229 (32.5)

Gender

    

Female, n (%)

1407 (43.3)

235 (44.8)

1642 (43.5)

0.525b

Male, n (%)

1844 (56.7)

290 (55.2)

2134 (56.5)

IOTF grade

    

Thin, n (%)

279 (16.5)

53 (15.5)

332 (16.3)

0.941b

Normal, n (%)

929 (54.8)

191 (55.7)

1120 (55)

Overweight, n (%)

303 (17.9)

60 (17.5)

363 (17.8)

Obese, n (%)

183 (10.8)

39 (11.4)

222 (10.9)

Hayfever diagnosis ever

    

Yes, n (%)

995 (30.6)

189 (36.0)

1184 (31.4)

0.013b

No, n (%)

2256 (69.4)

336 (64.0)

2592 (68.6)

Eczema diagnosis ever

    

Yes, n (%)

1831 (56.3)

339 (64.4)

2170 (57.5)

<0.001b

No, n (%)

1420 (43.7)

186 (35.4)

1606 (42.5)

Eosinophil count (x10 9 /L)

    

≤0.4, n (%)

1739 (53.5)

225 (42.9)

1964 (52)

<0.001b

>0.4, n (%)

1512 (46.5)

300 (57.1)

1812 (48)

Overall asthma control

    

Controlled, n (%)

2534 (77.9)

234 (44.6)

2768 (73.3)

<0.001b

Uncontrolled, n (%)

717 (22.1)

291 (55.4)

1008 (26.7)

Asthma attack in baseline year

    

0, n (%)

2853 (87.8)

285 (54.3)

3138 (83.1)

<0.001b

1, n (%)

317 (9.8)

143 (27.2)

460 (12.2)

≥2, n (%)

81 (2.5)

97 (18.5)

178 (4.7)

LRTI consultations resulting in script for antibiotics

    

0, n (%)

2910 (89.5)

421 (80.2)

3331 (88.2)

<0.001b

1, n (%)

280 (8.6)

82 (15.6)

362 (9.6)

2+, n (%)

61 (1.9)

22 (4.2)

83 (2.2)

GINA management step

    

0, n (%)

616 (18.9)

52 (9.9)

668 (17.7)

<0.001b

1, n (%)

395 (12.2)

47 (9.0)

442 (11.7)

2, n (%)

1726 (53.1)

258 (49.1)

1984 (52.5)

3, n (%)

381 (11.7)

96 (18.3)

477 (12.6)

4, n (%)

125 (3.8)

67 (12.8)

192 (5.1)

5, n (%)

8 (0.2)

5 (1.0)

13 (0.3)

Daily SABA dosage (μg)

    

None, n (%)

715 (22.0)

62 (11.8)

777 (20.6)

<0.001b

1–100, n (%)

410 (12.6)

55 (10.5)

465 (12.3)

101–200, n (%)

925 (28.5)

139 (26.5)

1064 (28.2)

201–300, n (%)

558 (17.2)

89 (17.0)

647 (17.1)

301+, n (%)

643 (19.8)

180 (34.3)

823 (21.8)

Average ICS daily dose (BUD equivalent) (μg)

    

None, n (%)

1032 (31.7)

102 (19.4)

1134 (30.0)

<0.001b

<100, n (%)

796 (24.5)

120 (22.9)

916 (24.3)

101–200, n (%)

708 (21.8)

104 (19.8)

812 (21.5)

>200, n (%)

715 (22)

199 (37.9)

914 (24.2)

Percent predicted peak flow readings (%)

    

N (% non-missing)

1878 (57.8)

338 (64.4)

2216 (58.7)

0.020a

Mean (SD)

102.89 (25.53)

99.06 (28.24)

102.30 (25.99)

Median (IQR)

101.1 (86.2, 117.7)

98.3 (79.5, 117.3)

100.6 (84.8, 117.6)

Median year at start of outcome years (IQR)

2007 (2005, 2008)

2007 (2005, 2008)

2007 (2005, 2008)

0.257b

  1. IOTF International Obesity Task Force, GINA Global INitiative for Asthma, LRTI lower respiratory tract infection
  2. at test
  3. bχ2 test