Table 2 Social affective forecasting results.

Model	Term	Level	Estimated Marginal Mean [95% CI] ^a	b [95% CI]	t	p	Marginal R²
Forecasting Accuracy Predicted by Group and Emotion							0.095
	Group^b			−0.11 [−0.19, −0.03]	2.57	0.012
		Non-SSD	3.69 [3.64, 3.75]
		SSD	3.58 [3.52, 3.65]
	Emotion^c			−0.24 [−0.28, −0.21]	13.79	<0.001
		Positive	3.51 [3.47, 3.56]
		Negative	3.76 [3.71, 3.80]
Forecasting Accuracy Predicted by Group by Emotion Interaction^d							0.100
	Group * Emotion			0.12 [0.05, 0.19]	3.34	<0.001
		¹Non-SSD Positive	3.55 [3.49, 3.60]
		²SSD Positive	3.50 [3.43, 3.57]
		^1,3Non-SSD Negative	3.84 [3.78, 3.90]
		^2,3SSD Negative	3.67 [3.60, 3.74]

^aScores have been reversed, such that higher scores indicate less discrepancy between ratings and greater accuracy.
^bNon-SSD is the reference group.
^cPositive emotion is the reference group.
^dLevels with a shared numerical superscript indicate that that differences in the estimated marginal means are unexpected under the null hypothesis, corrected p < 0.05.

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