Table 2 Delphi projections
From: Setting the table for meat consumers: an international Delphi study on in vitro meat
No | Projection: By the year 2027, … | Response type |
|---|---|---|
Cluster 1: Technology | ||
1 | production costs of cultured meat will be significantly lower compared to conventional meat. | Likert |
2 | mass production of cultured meat will be possible due to further development of bioreactors. | Likert |
3 | mass production of cultured meat will be possible due to 3D printing. | Likert |
4 | mass production of cultured meat will be possible due to another method which is not utilized today. | Likert |
5 | there will be at least one mature alternative to produce cultured meat in larger quantities without fetal bovine serum. | Likert |
6 | cultured meat can be enriched with more vitamins, minerals, and poly-unsaturated fatty acids than conventional meat. | Likert |
7a | it will have become possible with the help of government subsidies to refine the production process for cultured meat. | Likert |
7b | the cooperation between research teams, market participants (like start-ups or investors), and government will have improved to refine the production process for cultured meat. | Likert |
8 | consumer will be able to produce cultured meat at home. | Likert |
9 | it will be possible to produce highly structured cultured meat (e.g., steak meat). | Likert |
Cluster 2: Environment | ||
10 | the greenhouse gas emissions caused by agriculture can be reduced worldwide by about X percent. | Percentage |
11 | the agricultural land used for livestock breeding and feed crop can be reduced worldwide by about X percent. | Percentage |
12 | the number of farm animals can be reduced worldwide by about X percent. | Percentage |
13 | the energy requirement or meat production will increase by about X percent. | Percentage |
14 | the required quantity of water for meat production will be reduced by about X percent. | Percentage |
15 | environmental advantages and disadvantages of cultured meat will have been sufficiently investigated and proven. | Likert |
16 | other risks will have been identified in the production process of cultured meat which will have a negative impact on the environment. | Likert |
Cluster 3: Market and competition | ||
17 | cultured meat will be a niche product with a small market share (less than 10 percent). | Likert |
18 | cultured meat will have a larger market share than other meat substitutes (like products made of soy, lupines, or insects). | Likert |
19 | There will be an intense worldwide competition between several companies producing cultured meat. | Likert |
20 | companies will exist that are specialized in the production of cultured meat to sell it to meat processing companies (e.g., sausage manufacturers). | Likert |
21 | conventional meat producers will also produce cultured meat. | Likert |
Cluster 4: Consumers | ||
22 | the demand for cultured meat will be positively influenced because it can be offered at a lower price than conventional meat. | Likert |
23 | the demand for cultured meat will be positively influenced by offering more attractive non-price aspects in cultured meat to consumers. | Likert |
24 | consumer acceptance will increase due to high security standards and relevant certifications in the production process of cultured meat. | Likert |
25 | consumers will appreciate cultured meat as a healthy product (due to added nutrients). | Likert |
26 | a special product label will enhance transparency for consumers and thus the acceptance of cultured meat will increase. | Likert |
27 | cultured meat will be better socially accepted than conventional meat due to animal welfare regards. | Likert |
28 | cultured meat will be better socially accepted than conventional meat due to the reduction of environmental impacts. | Likert |
29 | cultured meat will be equivalent to conventional meat in appearance. | Likert |
30 | cultured meat will be equivalent to conventional meat in taste. | Likert |
31 | cultured meat will be equivalent to conventional meat in meat texture. | Likert |
