Extended Data Fig. 5: Probability distributions of passing 2050 global warming levels.
From: Current and future global climate impacts resulting from COVID-19

Probability distributions of passing 2050 global warming levels. Levels are relative to 1850-1900 for the scenarios in Table 1, generated by varying the emulated CMIP6 model (choosing one of 35 model formulations) and ERF ranges. Distributions are weighted according to their goodness of fit over the historical period (see Methods surface temperature change estimates section).