Fig. 4: Response to the two-year blip pathway.
From: Current and future global climate impacts resulting from COVID-19

a,b, Component effective radiative forcing (a) and component temperature response (b). Results are for the two-year blip pathway compared to the baseline pathway. The response is broken down by the major forcing contributors, as emulated by the FaIR v.1.5 model. The 5–95% Monte Carlo sampled uncertainties are shown and weighted according to their historical fit to the surface temperature record (see Methods).