Extended Data Fig. 3: Longer term climate projections to 2030. | Nature Climate Change

Extended Data Fig. 3: Longer term climate projections to 2030.

From: Current and future global climate impacts resulting from COVID-19

Extended Data Fig. 3

Longer term climate projections to 2030. Emissions, ERF and temperature response from the three scenarios over 2019-2030 (top). The probabilities are generated by varying the emulated CMIP6 model (one of 35) and ERF ranges with a 10,000 Monte Carlo sample. Distributions are weighted according to their goodness of fit over the historical period (see Methods surface temperature change estimates section).

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