Extended Data Fig. 4: As Fig. 1 but using a full convolution.

Combining all four distributions into an overall distribution by a full convolution, GWLs reached by 2100 (distinguished by colour) causing the present-day 100-yr ESL event to become at least annual, for 179 locations at which ESL estimates from all 3 studies are available (left column) and for the 7,283 locations for which the model-based ESL estimates are available (right column). Central estimate (median),lower and upper bounds (that is, 5^th and 95^th quantiles) are shown from top to bottom respectively. The + sign associated to 2°C and 5°C indicates projections that include SEJ-derived estimates of ice-sheet contribution to SLC.