Table 1 GWLs triggering frequency changes in ESLs

From: Extreme sea levels at different global warming levels

 

1.5

2.0

2.0+

2.5

3.0

4.0

5.0

5.0+

None

179 locations:

         

50th quantile and majority vote

54%

11%

4%

8%

2%

7%

3%

6%

7%

5th quantile and minimum vote

99%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

95th quantile and maximum vote

2%

1%

5%

1%

0%

3%

3%

15%

70%

7,283 locations:

         

50th quantile and majority vote

43%

10%

4%

10%

5%

8%

4%

4%

12%

5th quantile and minimum vote

99%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

95th quantile and maximum vote

7%

1%

7%

0%

0%

2%

6%

17%

60%

  1. Percentage of the 179 locations depicted in Fig. 1a,c,e (first to third rows of the table) and of the 7,283 locations depicted in Fig. 1b,d,f (fourth to sixth rows of the table) at which the frequency of the present-day 100-yr ESL event changes to at least an annual event by 2100. Indicated are central estimates, lower (pessimistic) and upper (optimistic) bounds for the GWL required. Percentages along each row may not add up to 100 exactly because of rounding errors. Each percentage value under GWLs of 2 °C or higher is to be interpreted as the additional fraction of sites experiencing the change (that is, in addition to the total along the row to its left). The + sign associated with 2 and 5 °C indicates projections that include SEJ-derived estimates of ice-sheet contribution to RSLC.