Fig. 3: Projected organic carbon loss.
From: Increase in Arctic coastal erosion and its sensitivity to warming in the twenty-first century
Changes in organic carbon released annually by coastal erosion according to observations-based estimates and in our model simulations for the historical period (1850–1950), current climate (according to observations from the ACD33) and at the end of the twenty-first century (2081–2100) in the three future scenarios. The heights of bars represent the total uncertainty of our projections, which we disentangle between ensemble spread, spatial and temporal erosion model components. Most of the uncertainties originate from the empirical estimates of the erosion model parameters (76–97%) and the smallest fraction to the ensemble spread (3–24%).
