Fig. 2: Inter-model consensus on increased ENSO variability over a 50-year period.
From: Increased ENSO sea surface temperature variability under four IPCC emission scenarios
a,b, ENSO Niño3.4 SST variability (in oC) in 50-year period of the current climate ending 2014 (x axis) and 50-year period of the future climate ending 2099 (y axis), under SSP585 (a) and SSP126 (b), respectively. The number of models generating an increase/decrease in ENSO variability is indicated in the top-left/bottom-right corner. Using the period length of 50 years sees a total of 34 out of 43 (79.1%) models under SSP585, and 27 out of 39 (69.2%) models under SSP126 produce increased ENSO SST variability.
