Extended Data Fig. 5: Inter-model consensus on increased ENSO Niño4 variability in 21st century.
From: Increased ENSO sea surface temperature variability under four IPCC emission scenarios
a–d, ENSO Niño4 SST variability (in °C) in the 20th century climate (x-axis) and the 21st century (y-axis), under the SSP585, SSP370, SSP245, and SSP126 emission scenarios, respectively. The number of models generating an increase in ENSO variability is indicated in the top-left corner, and number of models producing a decrease in ENSO variability is indicated in the bottom right corner. The inter-model consensus range is 73.8–81.4%.
