Fig. 3: Increasing temporal autocorrelation in daily air temperature between 1850 and 2100. | Nature Climate Change

Fig. 3: Increasing temporal autocorrelation in daily air temperature between 1850 and 2100.

From: Climate-mediated shifts in temperature fluctuations promote extinction risk

Fig. 3

a, Spatiotemporal trends in temporal autocorrelation suggest changes in the chronological sequence of temperature conditions, with increasing temporal autocorrelation (decreasing spectral exponent) at 80.04% of global land locations, excluding Antarctica. Hashed contours indicate statistically significant inter-model agreement on the sign of the trend at the \({\upalpha} = 0.05\) significance level. b–e, Regional analysis indicates statistically significant increasing trends in temporal autocorrelation in NHEX and TROP, and a statistically significant decreasing trend in temporal autocorrelation in SHEX. While sea environments generally exhibit a greater degree of temporal autocorrelation than land, in NHEX autocorrelation is increasing at a greater rate on land locations as to overturn this relationship by the end of the twenty-first century.

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