Extended Data Fig. 1: Historical and simulated globally averaged surface atmospheric temperature anomaly with respect to 1850-1900 for different model configurations.
From: Adaptive emission reduction approach to reach any global warming target
(a-i) Global mean surface temperature (GMST) from 1850 to 2020 for 9 model configurations with varying ECS without the superimposed inter-annual variability. The blue lines show the simulated GMST, and the orange lines show the determined anthropogenic warming. The diapycnal diffusivity coefficients are 1×10−5, 2×10−5 and 1×10−4 m2 s−1 (from top to bottom) and the different numbers for the internal Bern3D model parameter that accounts for climate feedbacks, which are not explicitly represented in the model, are 0.1, −0.3, and −0.7 W m−2 K−1 (from left to right). The HadCRUT5 observation-based GMST time-series is shown in black in all panels.
