Extended Data Fig. 2: The effect of time scales in overshoot scenarios on the risk for tipping events.
From: Global warming overshoots increase risks of climate tipping cascades in a network model
In the left column, the probability of zero, one, two, three, or four tipped elements are shown for peak temperatures between T_Peak=2.0∘C (lowest scenario) up to T_Peak=6.0∘C (highest scenario). The right column breaks down the respective elements, which are responsible for the respective average number of tipped elements from the left column. The three parallel drawn bars in each panel detail the time scale of tipping into three scenarios. The left bar shows the result in equilibrium simulations (after 50,000 simulation years, long-term tipping), the bar in the middle shows the tipping events after 1,000 simulation years (mid-term tipping), and the right bar after 100 simulation years (short-term tipping). We depict the average over the entire ensemble as the bar height and the error bars show the standard deviation.
