Extended Data Table 1 Overview of the different submodels and input data sources and how they were related or derived from studies on the three islands

From: Sea-level rise causes shorebird population collapse before habitats drown

 

submodel / input data

island A

island S

island T

source

abiotic models

geomorphological model

same model for all islands, parameterized with data from islands A, S & T

28

sea level rise model

global IPCC model spatially downscaled for the situation of the Netherlands

27

intra-and interannual fluctuations in water levels

+

+

+

53

deep soil subsidence gas mining model

+

not applicable

not applicable

45

elevation map

+

+

+

58

flooding model

same model for all islands, parameterized with data from other Dutch marshes

57

biotic models

bird distribution map

+

+

+

62

habitat selection model

same model for all islands, parameterized with empirical data from island S

25

nest-site selection model

same model for all islands, parameterized with empirical data from islands S & A

4,31,65

reproduction model

same model for all islands, parameterized with empirical data from islands S & A

38

population dynamical model

same model for all islands, parameterized with empirical data from island S

38,39

  1. In the table ‘+’ denotes that the data source or model was specifically collected or parameterized for that specific island.