Table 2 Overview of allocation rules
From: Navigating the black box of fair national emissions targets
Name | Equity principle | Description | |
---|---|---|---|
Main rules (results used throughout main paper) | |||
PCC | Per capita convergence | Equality | Converge from GF allocations over time to PC allocations. |
ECPC | Equal cumulative per capita | Responsibility (and equality) | Emissions allocations converge to fully spending a rightful remaining budget (or conversely, redeeming a debt) based on historical emissions and what the country had the right to emit based on contemporary population. After convergence, a per capita allocation is issued. |
AP | Ability to pay | Capability | Inversely based on GDP per capita fraction, taking into account increasing costs of marginal abatement. |
Additional rules (results in database20) | |||
PC | (Immediate) per capita | Equality | Allocations immediately proportional to current population levels without any convergence from current emissions levels. This yields a discontinuous ‘step’ between current emissions levels and future allocations. |
PCB | Per capita via budget | Equality | Fraction cumulative CO2 budget is determined on a per capita basis, then allocated over time using a linearly decreasing pathway until CO2 is net zero. A non-CO2 part is added separately. GHG across countries does not sum the global GHG pathway over time but only cumulatively does. |
GDR | Greenhouse development rights | Responsibility and capability | Up to 2030: combination of capability and responsibility using the Responsibility–Capability Index (RCI)44,45. After 2030: same as AP. This approach accounts for the wealth distribution within countries through a luxury threshold. The approach is generalized in the Climate Equity Reference Framework34. |
Reference rules (not considered equitable16) | |||
GF | Grandfathering | Maintain current emissions distribution | Fraction of current emissions levels is kept constant: all countries decrease emissions allowances proportionally. Preserves current emissions inequality over time. |
CO | Cost optimal | Cost optimality | Output from IAMs, on a globally least-cost basis using marginal abatement curves. |