Table 1 Planned and unplanned timber harvests under climate change

From: Rising cost of disturbances for forestry in Europe under climate change

Climate scenario

Annual timber volume harvested (million m3)

Share of unplanned harvests (%)

Productivity relative to historical (%)

Total

Planned

Unplanned

Historical

259.6 ± 9.4

185.1 ± 8.5

74.5 ± 2.7

28.7 ± 1.1

100 ± 7.9

RCP2.6

293.1 ± 9.9

205.1 ± 9.3

88.0 ± 4.2

30.0 ± 1.4

112 ± 7.7

RCP4.5

304.1 ± 15.6

200.3 ± 11.9

103.8 ± 8.5

34.1 ± 2.8

117 ± 3.5

RCP8.5

332.3 ± 24.0

202.7 ± 16.9

129.6 ± 13.2

39.0 ± 4.0

127 ± 2.3

  1. Unplanned harvest is the amount of timber accruing from natural disturbances, while planned harvest is the timber extracted by regular forest management. Values indicate mean ± s.d. Productivity refers to potential net primary productivity (compare Supplementary Methods section ‘Forest productivity under climate change’) in percent of the historical climate scenario. Historical assumes climate conditions from 1981–2005, while RCP scenarios are simulated under the climate conditions expected for the period 2076–2100.
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