Extended Data Fig. 3: Components of hazard: land-cover change and temperature change by mid-century. | Nature Ecology & Evolution

Extended Data Fig. 3: Components of hazard: land-cover change and temperature change by mid-century.

From: Multispecies migratory connectivity indicates hemispheric-scale risk to bird populations from global change

Extended Data Fig. 3

a, Projected mean land-cover vulnerability to modification by humans by 2050 per migratory connectivity region (MCR), relative to 2010–2018 baseline. Data were obtained from ESRI/Clark Labs and summarized by MCR by averaging across 300 m grid cells (native resolution of dataset). Two values were then averaged for every MCR pair (n = 921) to yield an average measure of land-cover change for all connections. b, Projected mean annual temperature change (°C) by mid-century per MCR relative to an historic baseline of 1995–2014 under SSP5-8.5. Data were obtained from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Working Group 1 (WG1) Interactive Atlas and summarized per MCR by averaging across 1° grid cells (native resolution of dataset). Two values were then averaged for every MCR pair to yield an average measure of climate change for all connections.

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