Fig. 2: Coral cover projections over the twenty-first century performed in ReefMod-GBR using DHM versus DHW.
From: Coral bleaching and mortality overestimated in projections based on Degree Heating Months
Projections of mean coral cover over the Great Barrier Reef are more pessimistic when DHM with a 3-month window, as opposed to DHW, is used to calculate heat stress from climate model outputs. The multi-model ensemble used consisted of CCSM4, HadGEM2-ES, MIROC5, GFDL-ESM2M, CESM1-WACCM and GISS-E2-R. For RCP 2.6, GISS-E2-R atmosphere–ocean general circulation model output was not available and for RCP 6.0, CESM1-WACCM and GISS-E2-R outputs were not available.
