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EPIDEMIOLOGY

Pandemic preparedness and forecast

Geographic mapping of pathogen emergence risk, as recently done for viral haemorrhagic fever in Africa, provides an important tool for targeting interventions. More comprehensive preparedness and prediction systems that increase surveillance and forecast infectious disease outbreak growth and spread in real time are also needed.

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Fig. 1: Proposal for an improved infectious disease surveillance and forecasting system.

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Correspondence to Jeffrey Shaman.

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J.S. and Columbia University disclose equity in SK Analytics.

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Shaman, J. Pandemic preparedness and forecast. Nat Microbiol 3, 265–267 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41564-018-0117-7

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