Extended Data Fig. 5: Simulated changes in MHW characteristics for different global warming levels and different extreme thresholds. | Nature

Extended Data Fig. 5: Simulated changes in MHW characteristics for different global warming levels and different extreme thresholds.

From: Marine heatwaves under global warming

Extended Data Fig. 5

a, ce, Global annual mean probability ratio (a; logarithmic scale), duration (c), maximum intensity (d) and cumulative mean intensity (e) of MHWs versus different extreme thresholds for different changes in global mean surface air temperature. b, Changes in the ratio of the mean spatial extent of MHWs between global warming conditions and 1861–1880 conditions. Simulations following only the RCP 8.5 scenario are shown. The shaded areas indicate the maximum range simulated by the CMIP5 models.

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