Extended Data Fig. 2: DP16 RCP8.5 projection distributions.
From: Revisiting Antarctic ice loss due to marine ice-cliff instability

a–d, DP16 ensemble projections6 for Antarctic sea-level contribution by 2100 under RCP8.5 for their four variants—low-Pliocene bias-uncorrected (a), low-Pliocene bias-corrected (b), high-Pliocene bias-uncorrected (c) and high-Pliocene bias-corrected (d)—showing the full 64-member ensemble (grey) and the subset selected by calibrating with Pliocene and last interglacial sea-level reconstructions (red). The solid red lines and pink shading show the mean ± 1 s.d.; the horizontal black lines indicate the ≥68% probability interval (see main text and Methods for more details).