Table 1 Population, confirmed and projected symptomatic cases, estimated detection rate and trends

From: Underdetection of cases of COVID-19 in France threatens epidemic control

Region

Acronym

Population (millions)

Number of laboratory-confirmed symptomatic cases by week of onset

Number of projected symptomatic cases by week of onset

Estimated detection rate (%) for symptomatic cases

Trend in detection rate

Week 20

Week 26

Week 20

Week 26

Week 20

Week 26

Île-de-France

IDF

12.3

737

574

12,427 (8,104–14,136)

1,704 (1,258–2,004)

6 (5–9)

34 (29–46)

+146%

Grand Est

GRE

5.5

323

135

4,868 (2,992–5,848)

756 (568–914)

7 (6–11)

18 (15–24)

+99%

Hauts de France

HDF

6.0

308

225

4,476 (2,381–6,648)

396 (219–538)

7 (5–13)

57 (42–100)

+186%

Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes

ARA

8.0

204

181

3,552 (2,017–5,283)

312 (173–451)

6 (4–10)

58 (40–100)

+244%

Occitanie

OCC

5.9

166

106

851 (397–1,400)

128 (57–235)

19 (12–42)

83 (45–100)

+165%

Provence–Alpes–Côte d’Azur

PACA

5.1

164

73

3,040 (1,665–4,625)

157 (83–239)

5 (4–10)

46 (31–88)

+289%

Pays de la Loire

PDL

3.8

127

96

1,158 (463–1,846)

255 (103–423)

11 (7–27)

38 (23–93)

+45%

Bourgogne–Franche–Comté

BFC

2.8

118

36

1,591 (854–2,379)

154 (88–235)

7 (5–14)

23 (15–40)

+95%

Nouvelle Aquitaine

NAQ

6.0

115

43

1,040 (482–1,691)

94 (38–166)

11 (7–24)

46 (26–100)

+54%

Centre-Val de Loire

CVL

2.6

94

44

1,706 (812–2,511)

79 (34–142)

6 (4–12)

56 (31–100)

+187%

Brittany

BRE

3.3

80

23

672 (294–1,155)

113 (51–206)

12 (7–27)

20 (11–45)

−28%

Normandy

NOR

3.3

55

112

725 (322–1,194)

153 (63–258)

8 (5–17)

73 (43–100)

+342%

Francea

 

64.6

2,493

1,647

35,704 (30,290–40,748)

4,319 (3,773–4,760)

7 (6–8)

38 (35–44)

+142%

  1. Regions are ranked by decreasing number of confirmed cases in week 20. The trend is computed comparing the average of the estimated detection rate in the weeks of June (weeks 23–26) with the average in the weeks of May (weeks 20–22). For the number of projected symptomatic cases and the estimated detection rate, data are medians and 95% confidence intervals obtained from n = 500 independent stochastic runs.
  2. aData are for mainland France; Corsica and overseas territories were excluded.