Extended Data Fig. 4: Goodness of fit of the preferred model (M19).
From: A simple dynamic model explains the diversity of island birds worldwide

Plots show the observed total number of species, cladogenetic species and colonizations versus those simulated by the model. Median and 95% percentiles are shown for 1,000 simulations of each archipelago. Selected archipelagos mentioned in the main text or well-known archipelagos for which one or more of the diversity metrics are under- or overestimated are highlighted in colour. Dashed line is y = x. See also Fig. 3.