Extended Data Fig. 6: Out-of-sample performance of the extrapolated incidence estimation.
From: Childhood vaccines and antibiotic use in low- and middle-income countries

We illustrate the extrapolated estimates of ARI and diarrhoea incidence and antibiotic-treated ARI and antibiotic-treated diarrhoea incidence against model-based estimates within the 10% holdout samples reserved to assess out-of-sample performance of predictive modelling. Red lines indicate expectations under the scenario of one-to-one correspondence between true and predicted out-of-sample values.