Extended Data Fig. 5: Temporal dynamics of excess 15N%, χ, in phytoplankton and zooplankton during the experiment.
From: Warming impairs trophic transfer efficiency in a long-term field experiment

Dashed lines represent mean pond-level predictions that were obtained by fitting the data to equation (1) via a nonlinear hierarchical Bayesian model (see Methods). Shaded polygons represent Bayesian 95% CI that were calculated from 20,000 posterior draws. Note the sharp increase in the χ(t) in the first few days of the experiment, particularly when compared to baseline 15N% in the control ponds (Extended Data Fig. 7).