Extended Data Table 1 Parameter estimates to characterize the temporal dynamics of the 15N tracer

From: Warming impairs trophic transfer efficiency in a long-term field experiment

  1. Mean parameter estimates, 95% CI (lower and upper bound), effective sample size, and the Gelman–Rubin statistic43, \(\hat{R}\), were obtained using a Bayesian hierarchical model. Parameter notation and model fitting approach are described in Methods section ‘Model framework’. amb, ambient temperature; war, warmed (+4 °C) relative to ambient temperature. Overall treatment-level and group-level model fits are visually depicted in Fig. 1; pond-level model fits are depicted in Extended Data Fig. 5.