Extended Data Fig. 10: Spatial patterns of reptilian assemblages at risk due to extreme thermal events by 2099.

Assemblage level (i.e., per grid-cell) exposure was quantified as the percentage of species present in each grid-cell exposed to a–c frequency, d–f duration, and g–i intensity of extreme events greater than the historical levels. Latitudinal patterns as the mean value per ~24.1 km2 latitudinal band are shown in j–l. See Supplementary Fig. S12 to S15 for results using SSP3–7.0. Maps show median estimates from five GCMs. Scenarios and corresponding mean global warming by 2100 compared to pre-industrial conditions (1850–1900): SSP1–2.6 (1.8 °C), SSP2–4.5 (2.7 °C), SSP3–7.0 (3.6 °C), and SSP5–8.5 (4.4 °C).