Fig. 3: Impact of model differences, climate targets and other scenario assumptions on the projections of the key variables in 2050.
Top left, an overview of the impact of the three drivers on 2050 projections of the key variables in the energy transition (for the assessment of 2100 projections, see Extended Data Fig. 3). The variables are split into six categories, identified by the colours corresponding to the tables to the side. The tables indicate the respective fractions of variance explained and are sorted by the variance explained by climate outcome differences. The values are highlighted in blue (low) and red (high) shades. The same figure using fractions of the total electricity generation (instead of absolute values) in the analysis is shown in Extended Data Figs. 5 and 6.
