Extended Data Fig. 5: Annual global sea surface temperature anomalies return to the long-term warming trend after record-shattering jumps in sea surface temperatures that exceed previous records by more than 0.25 °C.
From: Record sea surface temperature jump in 2023–2024 unlikely but not unexpected
Annual (April-March) global (60°S-60°N) sea surface temperature (SST) for the 71 years around a record-shattering jump in SSTs that exceeds the previous record by at least 0.25 °C for the simulations a) CanESM539,40 – r14i1p1f1, b) CanESM539,40 – r15i1p1f1, and c) IPSL-CM6A-LR60 – r14i1p1f1, the simulations in which SSTs do not come back to pre-jump levels in the future (blue lines). The respective ensemble means for CanESM39,40 (50 ensemble members) and IPSL-CM6A-LR60 (6 ensemble members) are shown in comparison (orange lines). The year of the jump in SSTs is shown as a dashed black line.
