Extended Data Fig. 3: Calibration of Delphi-2M’s instantaneous predictions.
From: Learning the natural history of human disease with generative transformers
a. Shown are results for 9 selected diseases and death on validation data for age groups of 5 years and both sexes. Predictions in each age-sex stratum are grouped into bins of powers of 10 (x-axis, average within each bin, and observed rates are calculated from validation data for predictions falling into each bin (y-axis). b, Calibration plots on the Danish longitudinal testing data. Each line represents an ICD-10 disease evaluated for each decile of the Delphi rate and compared against the observed rate in the population.
