Fig. 4: Epidemic model predictions of outbreak and quarantine dynamics under different null network permutations.
From: Using a real-world network to model localized COVID-19 control strategies
a, Epidemic model simulations of outbreak size and number of people isolated and quarantined under different null network permutations based on the Haslemere network (see Methods for details). Lines and shaded areas represent the median and 5th–95th percentiles, respectively, from 1,000 simulations. b, Example networks showing an infection simulation (with secondary contact tracing after 20 days) on each null network. See Fig. 1 for network details.
