Extended Data Fig. 3: Estimated total ICU beds needed for COVID-19 patients by state from 01 February 2020 to 28 February 2021, under the plausible reference scenario.

The inset map displays the estimated peak number of all ICU COVID-19 beds above capacity by state between 22 September 2020 and 28 February 2021. The light yellow background separates the observed and predicted part of the time series, before and after 21 September 2020. The dashed vertical line identifies 03 November 2020. Numbers are the means and uncertainty interval (UI) for the plausible reference scenario on dates highlighted.