Fig. 2: Age-specific and overall incidence rates of different clinical outcomes across four settings (China, Shanghai, Shanxi and Shandong) under the baseline scenario from March 2022 to September 2022.

a, Cumulative hospital (non-ICU) admissions per 1,000 individuals. b, Cumulative ICU admissions per 1,000 individuals. c, Cumulative deaths per 1,000 individuals. China represents the ‘national average’. Number denotes median, and error bars denote 2.5% and 97.5% quantiles of n = 200 simulations.