Extended Data Fig. 4: Projected COVID-19 burden and demands in hospital and ICU beds in China under pessimistic VE scenario compared to the baseline scenario (optimistic VE) from March 2022 to September 2022.

a, Cumulative hospital (non-ICU) admissions. b, Cumulative ICU admissions. c, Cumulative deaths. d, Daily demand in hospital (non-ICU) beds. e, Daily demand in ICU beds. In e, the green dashed line indicates the number of ICU beds available in China. All data are presented as median with 2.5% and 97.5% quantiles of n=200 simulations.